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Energy Challenges of our time

Dr. Fatih Birol, IEA March Global challenges and trends in energy use, supply and carbon emissions are outlined. Headline trends include; decreasing global energy efficiency, increased spending on energy imports in the EU and a significant increase in global demand to 2035. Economic concerns have diverted attention from energy policy and limited the means of intervention. Emerging economies continue to drive global energy demand, with the Middle East and North Africa meeting most of oil demand growth to 2035. Coal was the most significant fuel from 2000-10 but a golden age for (unconventional) gas is predicted to 2035. In 2010 global fossil fuel subsidies were $409 billion and renewable energy subsidies were $66 billion. Energy poverty is widespread with 1.3 billion people with no access to electricity and 2.7 billion with no access to clean cooking facilities. Delivering modern energy for all would have significant health benefits and a positive impact on energy security and carbon emissions. Action to reduce global carbon emissions is increasingly urgent with high carbon lock in possible by 2017. There is an urgent need for Read more…

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Energy Challenges of Our Time - 2012.pdf 845.28 KB
23rd
Mar
2012

Feeding the Nine Billion

Lord Krebs, Committee on Climate Change How can we feed 9 billion people equitably, healthily and sustainably? Provide enough water and energy for a growing population coming out of poverty? And all this whilst mitigating and adapting to climate change? This presentation discusses these challenges, citing the slowing of progress made via the Green Revolution and the biodiversity, energy and water implications of agricultural developments. Sustainable intensification, GM crops, dietary changes and reductions in waste are reviewed, as is the potential for carbon reductions in the UK agriculture sector. Feeding the world in 2050 is a major challenge with some trends heading in the wrong direction. We need to consider all tools available and simultaneously tackle climate change.

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Feeding the Nine Billion - 2012.pdf 2.94 MB
13th
Mar
2012

World Energy Outlook – A Glimpse into the Future of Energy

Dr. Fatih Birol, International Energy Agency Provides an overview and insights into the 2010 WEO. It is suggested that recently announced policies can make a difference, but fall well short of what is needed for a secure and sustainable energy future. In respect to oil, growing demand for mobility in emerging economies is driving up use, production is shifting away from crude and oil will come from fewer producers; the view is that the age of cheap oil is over, though policy action could bring lower international prices than would otherwise be the case. Gas is seen as playing a key role in meeting the world’s energy needs and it is asked whether we may be entering a golden age for gas. It is also recognised that the stronger penetration of natural gas could have profound implications for energy markets and the environment. Although renewables are entering the mainstream, long-term support is needed to boost their competitiveness. Detailed information is provided on climate change and emission reductions, with a recognition that a lack of ambition in Copenhagen/Cancun has increased the Read more…

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World Energy Outlook A glimpse into the future of energy.pdf 539.08 KB
17th
Feb
2011

World Energy Outlook Post Copenhagen IEA

Dr. Fatih Birol, International Energy Agency An overview of the 2010 WEO Reference Scenario to 2030 is provided, discussing: changes in primary energy demand; upstream oil and gas capital expenditures; oil production, issues and prices; and natural gas supply, transportation, prices and market trends. The 450 Scenario is also described in respect to how demand by fuel type needs to change and the abatement of CO2 emissions; along with some key facts relating to the EU, China and the Copenhagen Accord. Some key findings include: the financial crisis has halted the rise in global energy use, but its long-term upward path will resume, based on current policies; oil investment has fallen sharply, posing questions on medium term supply; a sizable glut of natural gas is looming; a 450 path will require massive investments but would bring substantial benefits; natural gas can play a key role as a bridge to a cleaner energy future; and the Copenhagen Accord takes significant steps forward on international climate policy but is not sufficient to limit temperature rise to 2 degrees.

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World Energy Outlook Post Copenhagen.pdf 2.79 MB
18th
Mar
2010

Zero Carbon Buildings Fulcrum 2009

Andy Ford, Fulcrum Consulting Sets out the business case for zero carbon, explaining why it is needed, what needs to happen and by when. An overview is provided of the current emissions from the built environment and how this needs to fall by 2050, in the context of the problems with the existing building stock. A zero carbon hierarchy is put forward, based upon: 1) energy efficiency; 2) carbon compliance; 3) a community energy fund. It is suggested that to move towards zero carbon, we should start building a heat infrastructure and find ways to fund community energy centres, linking energy and property companies and investigating how non-domestic development might benefit existing housing. Overviews are provided for Interseasonal Heat Transfer, Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage and city sized ring mains.

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Zero Carbon Buildings Fulcrum 2009.pdf 755.97 KB
16th
Nov
2009

Energy Efficiency and Energy Demand Perspectives

Nick Eyre, Oxford University Within the UK, domestic energy use has been rising since 1970, particularly in respect to electricity, linking to the consumer society. This raises a number of issues. It is apparent that we need to invest mostly in small demand side projects, but this debate is generally ignored within emerging policies. Evidence also shows that investment in energy efficiency works, but the focus tends to be on emerging technologies, rather than people and skills. Finally, given that consumerism drives demand upwards and is unsustainable, it is questionable why efforts to move out of recession continue to be dominated by encouraging consumerism.

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Energy Efficiency and Energy Demand Perspectives 2009.pdf 35.02 KB
21st
Sep
2009

China Moving towards low carbon growth 2009

Jim Watson, Sussex Energy Group China’s recent energy trends are described in terms of primary energy demand, energy intensity and power generation capacity, alongside environmental implications such as acid rain, total and per capita carbon emissions and attitudes to these. It is suggested that: per capita carbon emissions are low, but are rising from the production of goods for western consumers; there is a genuine desire to develop sustainably, but this is hindered by the financial crisis; and that significant progress in low carbon technologies is occurring, alongside improvements within energy efficiency, economic restructuring and innovation.

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China Moving towards low carbon growth 2009.pdf 295.28 KB
11th
Feb
2009

World Energy Outlook 2008

Dr Fatih Birol, International Energy Agency The context for the 2008 WEO includes: soaring energy prices to mid-2008, followed by a collapse; the financial crisis and economic slowdown; the possibility that economic worries will divert attention from strategic energy-security and environmental challenges; a possible supply-crunch once the economy recovers; and questions over what will come out of the COP-15 in Copenhagen. Each of these issues is discussed in respect to possible impacts for global energy demand and supply, set out through the IEA’s Reference Scenario and the climate policy scenarios (550 and 450). Details are provided on world primary energy demand, including the role of coal, oil, gas and electricity, and the prospects for oil and gas supplies. The summary suggests that: current energy trends are unsustainable —socially, environmentally, economically; oil will remain the leading energy source but the era of cheap oil is over and the oil market is undergoing major and lasting structural change; energy and geopolitics will be increasingly interconnected; the world’s energy system need to be decarbonised; and the financial crisis can plant the seeds for Read more…

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World Energy Outlook 2008.pdf 1.14 MB
9th
Feb
2009

Delivering Sustainability – The need for energy policy to engage more people than the ‘usual suspects’ – the supply-side

Catherine Mitchell, University of Exeter Sets out the nature of the current energy system in terms of incumbent energy companies and how Government policies support them, before asking what can be done about this. The implication of meeting the 2050 carbon targets is that the energy system (electricity, heat and transport) will need to be almost completely different from that in place today, requiring significant innovation and change. It is apparent that the Big Six dominate electricity supply and generation and large scale gas, at the expense of other key sectors (transport, heat, skills) and what may be needed are more inclusive and open policies and a strategic plan with political intervention and funds.

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Delivering Sustainability the need for energy policy to engage more people than the usual suspects the supply side.pdf 929.65 KB
17th
Nov
2008

Oil, Energy Markets and the World Economy

Christopher Allsopp, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies Currently oil and other commodity prices, volatility, and the international financial crisis are all impacting on the world economy, challenging the idea of continued growth. These issues and their interrelationships to oil, energy markets and the challenges this poses for the energy sector are discussed. Oil prices, volatility and shocks are examined from a global perspective linking to fundamentals, short term positions, OPEC reactions and conflicting agendas (such as security and climate change). These and other issues make the interactions between oil markets and the world economy complex and a straightforward policy response, within international energy markets, difficult.

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Oil Energy Markets and the World Economy 2008.pdf 340.16 KB
14th
Oct
2008

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