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October 17, 2016

Can long-term growth for natural gas be sustained?

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With weaker energy demand in the short-term, cost reductions for renewables gaining a lot of interest, and pressures to reduce CO2 in the long-term, can the prospects for growth in natural gas be realised?  Yet new sources of supply, both shale gas in USA and LNG projects around the world, are proving robust.  And the IEA’s 2°C “450” scenario has world natural gas demand 15% greater in 2040 than 2013.

Natural gas’s role in the global energy transition is one of the most interesting, potentially having more dynamic factors affecting its supply and demand than other energy sources.  In this seminar, we shall be exploring several of these facets, and there will be good scope for participants to debate the issues with panellists as well.

In addition, the seminar will also feature the annual UK winter gas outlook. This year’s presentation “ An interesting winter in prospect ?” will be given by Simon Durk from National Grid.


14.00 Registration
14.15 Welcome and Introduction
 14.20  Natural Gas in the UK – A stepping stone or end-point?
John Feddersen, Director and CEO, Aurora Energy Research Ltd; “Why Europe needs natural gas … at least for now”
Professor Nigel Brandon, OBE FrEng, Director of the Sustainable Gas Institute, Imperial; “Heat – a challenge or an opportunity for natural gas?”
Stephen Kinder, New Business Development Manager, Shell Chemicals; “Chemicals’ feedstock challenges – an opportunity for natural gas?”
15.20 Audience debate moderated by Martin Haigh, Senior Energy Adviser, Shell Scenarios Team 
15.50 Break
16.10 UK Winter Gas Outlook
Presentation and Q&A  Simon Durk, Energy Supply Manager, National Grid; “An interesting winter in prospect?”
17.00 Refreshments
17.30 Close




John Feddersen, Director and CEO, Aurora Energy Research Ltd

john-feddersen-150x150John Feddersen is Chief Executive Officer and a Director of Aurora Energy Research. Prior to co-founding Aurora, John advised major government and private sector clients with the Boston Consulting Group throughout Australia and South-East Asia. Earlier, John began his business career with Deutsche Bank.

John is a Visiting Fellow of the University of Oxford. His commentary and analysis regularly appears in major international press and he has published in leading peer-reviewed academic journals. John holds a first class honors degree in Economics and Mathematics from the University of Melbourne, and MPhil and DPhil degrees in Economics, awarded with the George Webb Medley Prize, from the University of Oxford, where he studied as a Rhodes Scholar.


Professor Nigel Brandon , Director of the Sustainable Gas Institute , Imperial College

Nigel-Brandon160x140Professor Nigel Brandon, OBE FREng, is Director of the Sustainable Gas Institute at Imperial College London, Director of the EPSRC funded Hydrogen and Fuel  Cell Hub, and Co-Director of the Energy Storage Hub.  He is a Panel Member of the Task Force on Shale Gas, and was previously Senior Fellow to the Research Council Energy programme, and Director for the Energy Futures Lab at Imperial College London.  Prior to joining Imperial College he held research positions with BP and Rolls Royce, and held the Shell Chair in Sustainable Development in Energy at Imperial College from 2005 to 2009. He was awarded the Royal Academy Silver Medal in 2007, the Inst Civil Engineers Baker Medal in 2011, and the ASME Francis Bacon medal in 2014.


 Stephen Kinder, New Business Development Manager, Shell Chemicals


Stephen has 32 years of experience in the chemicals industry since joining Shell Chemicals in London in 1984. His career has covered a variety of roles in Chemicals including strategy and portfolio, general management, venture management, business development, supply and logistics and strategy in national, regional and global businesses including a number of international assignments and roles in Malaysia, Singapore and China.

Stephen has also been an active member in a range of industry associations both in Malaysia (CICM, founding chair of MPA, ASEAN CIC) as well as CEFIC and ICCA which included a focus on the Energy and Climate Change issues.

He holds a BSc (Hons) and post graduate research in Agricultural Chemistry from the University of Glasgow, UK.

Simon Durk. Market Insights Manager, National Grid

simon-durk-small2Simon Durk has extensive experience in analytical teams in National Grid and beyond, with particular emphasis on gas demand and supply modelling.  Most recently he led the team that created the views of gas supply for National Grid’s key publications, the Future Energy Scenarios, Gas Ten Year Statement and the Winter and Summer Outlooks. He now has a new role as Market Insights Manager and as such is responsible for turning analysis into insight that informs the industry and helps to cement National Grid’s position at the centre of the energy debate.




Attendees should come to the Tower Reception in the Shell Centre ( entrance opposite the London Eye) with their registration confirmation. Photo ID will be required by Shell reception to gain admission to this meeting.
Registration is from 14.00 , the meeting starts  at 14.15  and finishes at 17.00. Refreshments will be served after the meeting. 




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