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Resource Revolution

Jeremy Oppenheim, McKinsey Global Institute The next twenty years will see a 35% increase in resource demand, driven by 3 billion new middle-class consumers. This will require a resource revolution that: aggressively maximises currently available productivity opportunities; enhances access to resource supply; and accelerates the next frontier of resource innovation. It is suggested that there are seven priority areas for action in order to realise this resource revolution. Four relate to ‘classic’ market failures, including: a lack of property rights; pricing of externalities; capital market failures; and dealing with the ‘public good’ nature of innovation. The other three go beyond standard market failures, and include: the need for new, integrated institutional approaches to resource governance; building awareness of resource-related risks; and shaping mindsets and consumer behaviour. These issues are discussed within the context of growing global wealth and trends in commodities, including historic prices and price volatility for a number of key resources, including energy, food, metals and agricultural materials.

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Resource Revolution.pdf 2.95 MB
19th
Oct
2011

Winter Gas Outlook Nat Grid 2011

Peter Parsons, National Grid Provides a detailed overview in respect to gas, covering: fuel prices; relative power economics; demand; demand forecasts; peak demand; supply forecasts from UKCS, interconnectors and LNG; and storage capacity. For electricity it is apparent that demand forecasts uncertainty has increased, and details are provided on: assumed availability of generators and interconnectors; generation and demand forecasts and outturns; normal demand and notified generation availability; 1 in 20 demand and assumed generation availability. In respect to the outlook for 2011/12 for gas: forward winter fuel prices strongly favour coal to be base load generation, providing a potential upside to gas demand; weather corrected gas demand forecast will be similar to last winter, though peak demand forecast is lower due to power generation assumptions; forecast non-storage supplies are similar to last winter with lower UKCS being offset by more LNG, albeit LNG supplies are subject to some uncertainties; and storage levels similar to last winter, but should increase in the winter when new facilities are commissioned. For electricity the outlook suggests that: the average Cold Spell Demand forecast will Read more…

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10th
Oct
2011

Downloads Archive

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