Downloads / Energy scenarios

BP Energy Outlook 2035

The BP  Energy  outlook 2035  identifies long-term energy trends, building on  the BP  Statistical Review of World Energy, and then develops projections for world energy markets to 2035, taking account of the potential evolution of the world economy, policy, and technology. The Energy Outlook contributes to the wider debate on global energy issues by asking key questions.Which fuels will gain – and lose – global market share? What is the outlook for US tight oil and shale gas supply, and what will the US energy renaissance of recent years mean for global markets into the future? What changes are likely for China (the world’s biggest energy consumer)? What are the implications for CO2 emissions? And, with the oil price in the spotlight, what are the forces that will influence energy prices over the decades to come? The 2035 report tables and presentation  are available here

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17th
Feb
2015

Shell Scenarios

Jeremy Bentham Vice President Global Environment .  Shell uses scenarios to explore the future.  These scenarios are not mechanical forecasts. They recognise that people hold beliefs and make choices that can lead down different paths. They reveal different possible futures that are plausible and challenge people’s assumptions.

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Shell-scenarios-12.pdf 1.55 MB
19th
Sep
2012

Transport 2050: the potential role of hydrogen

Professor Paul Ekins, UCL Bearing in mind that transport is part of the wider energy system, scenarios and models to 2050 can help examine a range of potential developments, which all have implications for the future energy system, including the role of: hybrids; electric vehicles; energy storage; fuel cells; biofuels; infrastructure requirements; and transport behaviours. UK MARKEL runs have considered carbon targets and scenarios, carbon emissions, and sectoral analysis (carbon, demand, transport, fuel, biofuels), suggesting that fuels and technologies are very sensitive to a range of assumptions (carbon, technology costs, discount rates and timescale). Consideration of the role for accelerated technology development (ATD) of hydrogen and fuel cells, suggests a need for more public policy attention, taking account of factors such as which technologies to support and to what extent, the need to consider infrastructure requirements and the impact of behaviour and patterns of mobility. Preliminary results suggest that: transport technology choices are sensitive to assumed patterns of demand and that changes in the transport sector have significant impacts on the overall energy system; there are trade-offs between biofuels and Read more…

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Transport 2050 the potential role of hydrogen 2011.pdf 1 MB
22nd
Sep
2011

Downloads Archive

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