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Climate Change Scenarios

Prof Jim Skea,   IPPC IPCC Special Report on Global warming of 1.5°C

Categories: Energy and environment, Meetings

Tags: IPCC Special Report Global Warming

20181107-Skea-IPP-Special-Report1.pdf 993.9 KB
7th
Nov
2018

Energy Barometer 2016

Deane Somerville, Knowledge Team Manager, Energy Institute The 2016 Energy Barometer Report captures insights from UK energy professionals and enables them to form the energy debate, policymakers, influencers, the industry and the public. Deane Somerville has worked in the Knowledge Team at the Energy Institute for the past three years, and has been involved in the development and production of the Energy Barometer as well as other Knowledge Service products. Prior to joining the EI, he worked in environmental consulting, focusing on contaminated site remediation. Academically, his background is in Geology as well as Energy and Environmental Technology. Deane is a Graduate member of the Energy Institute.  

Categories: Conference Presentations, Electricity and nuclear, Energy and environment, Energy demand, Energy economics, Energy efficiency, Energy policy, Energy security, Finance and investment, Gas, Oil, Renewables, Transport

Tags: electricity and nuclear, energy and environment, Energy Barometer, Energy demand, energy economics, Energy efficiency, Energy policy, energy professional survey, energy security, finance and investment, Future energy systems, Gas, Oil, Renewables, transport

Energy_Barometer_2016-Somerville.pdf 1.35 MB
21st
Sep
2016

Transition to a Low Carbon Energy System and Energy Security- Synergies and Conflicts

Dr Bengt Johansson, FOI Daniel K Jonsson, FOI André Månsson, Environmental and Energy Systems Studies, Lund University Lars J Nilsson, Environmental and Energy Systems Studies, Lund University Måns Nilsson, Stockholm Environment Insitute To avoid severe consequences of climate change a transition to a low-carbon energy system will be required. Energy security will be affected by such a transition. In this paper, we summarise the findings from a three year long research project that investigates the synergies and conflicts between a transition to a low carbon energy systems and maintaining or increasing energy security. Energy security can be interpreted in several different ways. Our approach involves studying energy both as an object exposed to security threats, using concepts such as security of supply or security of demand, and the energy system as the subject in generating or enhancing insecurity and conflict (Johansson. 2013. Energy, 53, 199-205). The latter approach includes how energy can be used as a tool for achieving various political goals, how it could contribute to fuelling conflicts, and pose threats to food and environmental security. The transition to Read more…

Categories: Academic Papers, Energy and environment, Energy security

JohanssonetalTransitiontoalowcarbon.pdf 187.69 KB
18th
Sep
2014

The path to 2050: spending wisely on preparedness ?

Mr George Day, Energy Technologies Institute   Overview   The Energy Technologies Institute’s peer-reviewed model of the UK’s national energy system (the Energy System Modelling Environment or ‘ESME’), enables policy-neutral analysis of optimal energy system choices to meet the UK’s 2050 carbon targets. The ETI has used insights from ESME analysis to underpin its strategy for investing in accelerating key low carbon technologies, as well as developing a broader characterisation of potential future overlapping phases in the UK’s low carbon transition.  The phasing emerging from the ETI’s analysis can be broadly summarised as consisting of: •           An initial ‘preparedness’ phase up to the mid 2020s, characterised by investment in a process of developing and proving a portfolio of the most valuable technology options •           A ‘decide and deploy’ phase from the mid 2020s running to the 2040s, where major  decisions about infrastructure and the energy system will need to be taken, alongside delivery of more substantial investment in the roll out of technologies to cut emissions  in power, heat and transport •           A ‘next generation’ phase from the mid 2030s Read more…

Categories: Academic Papers, Energy and environment, Energy policy

Day-The-path-to-2050-spending-wisely-on-preparedness1.pdf 651.46 KB
18th
Sep
2014

Carbon Taxation if Liquefied Coal will (not) Substitute Oil and Gas

Mr Florian Habermacher, Inst. of Intl. and Applied Econ. Research, Uni. of St.Gallen Current and conceivable near-term climate protection measures are regionally constrained. We analyse leakage effects of unilateral climate policies, separately for major fossil fuels. In a business-as-usual scenario without future technological changes, unilateral oil (or gas) consumption reductions through climate protection measures are subject to very large leakage effects over the long run: because these fuels are strongly exhaustible, our dynamic fuel-market model shows that demand in the part of the world without stringent climate policies will offset a large fraction of domestic emission reductions in the medium-run notably because the lower domestic consumption reduces the fuel prices on the global markets. This is different for coal, which is much more abundant even in the medium-term future. Because coal reserves are so large, simulations show that medium-term leakage rates are low for domestic coal reductions, as these reductions have a comparatively small effect on the coal prices in other parts of the world. In this scenario, a unilateral carbon tax on coal emissions should correspond approximately to the Read more…

Categories: Academic Papers, Energy and environment, Energy economics

Tags: Carbon tax, Coal, conference 2012, Emission reductions, European Energy in a Challenging World, Fossil fuels

Carbon-Taxation-if-Liquefied-Coal-will-not-Substitute-Oil.pdf 473.99 KBHabermacher_Carbon-Taxation-if-Liquefied-Coal-will-not-Substitute-Oil.pdf 851.95 KB
20th
Sep
2012

Cumulative Carbon Emissions and Climate Change

Dr John Rhys, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are essentially cumulative in the earth\’s atmosphere.  The thesis of this paper (drawing on an earlier OIES Working Paper) is that much economic analysis and policy making in relation to the mitigation of CO2 emissions has failed to reflect fully this essential element of the science.  In particular the cumulative and irreversible nature of CO2 necessarily implies that a significantly heavier weight should attach to current as opposed to future emissions.  This is in major contrast to some conventional wisdom and also to the outcomes and expectations that can be observed from current application of market-based approaches to limiting carbon emissions.  Application of a progressive tightening  of “carbon caps” – limits on total CO2 emissions -  has tended to deliver a very different message on the relative importance of present and future emissions, with the price of current emissions being very low but with a prospect of rapid rises in the future. This inconsistency in time profiles, between a focus on costs or externalities – the social cost Read more…

Categories: Academic Papers, Energy and environment, Energy policy

Tags: Carbon budgets, carbon cap, conference 2012, Emission reductions, European Energy in a Challenging World

Climate-Change.-Has-the-economics-lost-contact-with-the-physics.pdf 997.17 KBCumulative-carbon-emissions-and-climate-change.pdf 228.27 KB
20th
Sep
2012

The Economics of CO2 Sequestration through Enhanced Oil Recovery

Professor Charles Mason, University of Wyoming The process of injecting CO2 into mature oil fields to increase oil production, enhanced oil recovery (EOR), contributes a significant and growing portion of overall world oil production.  This is an important development for climate-change policy, because most of the injected CO2 remains underground after fields are decommissioned. Provided therefore that the CO2 comes from anthropogenic sources, EOR constitutes a form of carbon capture and sequestration (CCS).  Moreover, whereas projects that inject CO2 into saline aquifers incur only costs, EOR projects generate revenues from the incremental oil that they recover. Accordingly, EOR may form a “bridge” to widespread CCS in aquifers, by helping pay for required infrastructure. In this paper, we discuss the economics of CO2 sequestration through EOR.  We first consider how climate-change policy may influence optimal management of EOR projects. Currently, these projects treat CO2 as a costly input. In the context of climate-change policy, however, operators may receive carbon credits or other types of subsidies for any CO2 they sequester.  Because these subsidies become a new source of revenues, the question Read more…

Categories: Academic Papers, Energy and environment, Oil

Tags: conference 2012, European Energy in a Challenging World

The-Economics-of-CO2-Sequestration.pdf 3.03 MBMason-TheEconomicsOfCO2SequestrationThroughEnhancedOilRecovery.pdf 396.59 KB
19th
Sep
2012

An evaluating of the regulation of Incentives for Alternative Electricity Sources in Brazil

Dr Élbia Melo, CCEE -Brazil The reduction of the greenhouse gas emissions is one of the major challenges that has been faced by the humankind nowadays. This challenge is straight related to the electricity energy production, considering that this sector is in front line of the greenhouse gas emissions. In this sense, the search for alternative ways to produce electricity energy is one of the main objectives of the 21st century. Brazil presents an unique scenery in the worldwide electricity industry. The Brazilian electricity generation matrix may characterize the power industry as a renewable one. The Brazilian interconnected system which accounts for about 98% of the Brazilian electricity market has an installed capacity of near 107 GW, with the hydro system responsible for 71% of the total installed capacity. Thermal generation main includes nuclear, natural gas, coal, oil plants and biomass. When we focus on alternatives energy sources we figure out a huge unexploited potential in Brazil: 143.5 GW related to wind power and 12.3 GW related to small hydro plants. In the case of biomass source by sugar cane, Read more…

Categories: Academic Papers, Electricity and nuclear, Energy and environment, Energy policy, Renewables

Tags: Brazil, BRICS, conference 2010, Energy in a Low carbon economy, Fossil fuels

An evaluating of the regulation of Incentives for Alternative Electricity Sources in Brazil - Paper.pdf 827.51 KB
23rd
Sep
2010

Energy Equity and Innovation in Emerging Countries

Mr Sebastián del Hoyo, University of Buenos Aires The ability to produce innovation on a large scale is one of the key factors behind the creation of a developed economy: an economy of knowledge.  When considering most of the countries in the emerging world, it is seen that many of them rely heavily on natural resources to develop their economies and societies. The main argument is that those countries have competitive advantages in doing so – think oil in the Middle East or agriculture in Latin America. There are some other countries that are more aware of the importance of industrialization for the development of their economies. Energy is one of the most important levers in human development and, as such, acts as a key factor in determining the economic development of all countries. In addition, the inequality within and across countries between those who have access and those who do not is on the increase. This paper is aimed at answering how could emerging economies will be able to play by the rules in terms of property rights and Read more…

Categories: Academic Papers, Energy and environment, Energy policy

Tags: Argentina, Climate change, conference 2010, Economic Growth, emerging markets, Energy Equity, Energy in a Low carbon economy, Energy markets, Fossil fuels, Innovation, Natural Resources, Sustainability

Energy Equity and Innovation in Emerging Countries - Paper.pdf 445.46 KBEnergy Equity and Innovation in Emerging Countries - Presentation.pdf 738.23 KB
23rd
Sep
2010

The Carbon Reduction Agenda and UK Nuclear Energy Policy

Mr Jonathan Cooper, University of Central Lancashire The relatively low carbon footprint of nuclear energy development, when compared to fossil fuel alternatives, is widely heralded as one of the main factors influencing the current policy trend in the UK. This paper examines the shift in UK nuclear energy policy in the 21st century from a position opposed to atomic energy expansion to one in its favour. The UK has one of the world’s most robust political commitments to greenhouse gas emissions reduction so the effects of the carbon reduction agenda on nuclear energy policy formulation are found to be significant. Carbon accountancy, however, is inconsistent throughout various government publications on nuclear energy even over the space of just a few years. This can potentially be explained by the relatively recent emergence of carbon accountancy practice. Nevertheless best practice in the use of carbon accountancy in nuclear energy policy must be established to ensure consistency in published government information and therefore enhance public confidence. This paper discusses the effects of the carbon reduction agenda on nuclear policy development through analysis of Read more…

Categories: Academic Papers, Electricity and nuclear, Energy and environment, Energy policy

Tags: Carbon accounting, conference 2010, Emissions reduction, Energy in a Low carbon economy, Nuclear, Student poster, UK

The Carbon Reduction Agenda and UK Nuclear Energy Policy - Poster.pdf 793.65 KB
22nd
Sep
2010
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