In principle energy system modelling seems to be potentially an important tool to support thinking about decarbonisation strategy, but in some ways it seems to have relatively limited influence on policy making.Scott Milne of the Energy Technologies Institute (ETI), who led the creation of ETI scenarios for UK decarbonisation, presented the ETI’s approach to ‘whole energy system’ modelling; building and communicating scenarios; some distinctive emerging insights; and its potential to inform thinking about energy strategy and policy.whole-systems-energy-modelling-scott-milne-eti.pdf 1.31 MB
Matthew Bell , CEO, The Committee on Climate ChangeClimate-change-action-to-2030-and-beyond-Matthew-Bell.pdf 910.18 KB
Marcus Stewart , Energy Supply Manager, National GridFuture-scenarios-Ngrid-Stewart.pdf 927.21 KB
David Kennedy, CEO , The Committee on Climate Change .
One of the major challenges for offshore wind, and renewable energy technologies more generally, is the extent to which they can compete with other forms of energy on cost. DECC’s 2011 Roadmap outlines an ambition for 11-18GW of offshore wind operational by 2020, but makes the achievement of 18GW conditional on a reduction in the cost of offshore wind to £100/MWh by 2020. In June 2012, The Crown Estate published a report demonstrating pathways which can reduce the levelised cost of offshore wind energy. Four cost reduction pathways were developed, through extensive consultation with industry; which combine improvements in technology, improvements in the supply chain, and reductions in the cost of finance. The pathways show that, provided a number of government and industry pre-requisites are met in the next few years, it is possible to reduce the levelised cost of offshore wind energy to around £100/MWh by 2020. Following the publication of The Crown Estate’s study, and the accompanying report by the Cost Reduction Taskforce, DECC has established an Offshore Wind Programme Board to take forward the cost reduction challenge.Offshore-Wind-Cost-Reduction.pdf 1.96 MB
Dr. Fatih Birol, IEA March Global challenges and trends in energy use, supply and carbon emissions are outlined. Headline trends include; decreasing global energy efficiency, increased spending on energy imports in the EU and a significant increase in global demand to 2035. Economic concerns have diverted attention from energy policy and limited the means of intervention. Emerging economies continue to drive global energy demand, with the Middle East and North Africa meeting most of oil demand growth to 2035. Coal was the most significant fuel from 2000-10 but a golden age for (unconventional) gas is predicted to 2035. In 2010 global fossil fuel subsidies were $409 billion and renewable energy subsidies were $66 billion. Energy poverty is widespread with 1.3 billion people with no access to electricity and 2.7 billion with no access to clean cooking facilities. Delivering modern energy for all would have significant health benefits and a positive impact on energy security and carbon emissions. Action to reduce global carbon emissions is increasingly urgent with high carbon lock in possible by 2017. There is an urgent need for Read more…Energy Challenges of Our Time - 2012.pdf 845.28 KB
Mike Thompson, Committee on Climate Change The Climate Change Act requires the CCC to consider the impact of carbon budgets on energy supplies and fuel poverty. Fuel poverty has risen from 2004 to 2010. The CCC focus on assessing costs for dual fuel customers however the total cost of carbon budgets, fiscal impact, competitiveness impacts and technology development are also assessed. Recent increases in bills from 2004 to 2010 (£455) were primarily due to factors unrelated to climate policy (which contributed £75). The CCC expects carbon policies to add around £110 to the average dual-fuel bill by 2020, mainly due to support for investments in low carbon power generation. The CCC identify significant potential for energy efficiency to reduce bills, however, these are currently uncertain and require effective policies. If unlocked they would offset carbon policy costs. Households with electric heating could be disproportionately affected by low-carbon costs.The CCC Household Energy Bills impacts of meeting carbon budgets - 2012.pdf 852.88 KB
David Kennedy, Committee on Climate Change Provides a detailed overview of the CCC’s Fourth Carbon Budget, highlighting that the UK’s 2050 target of an 80% emissions reduction remains appropriate and that by 2030 the UK should aim for a 60% reduction. It calls for legislation for the Domestic Action Budget to take place now, including moving to the Intended Budget for the non-traded sector, during the UK’s second and third carbon budgets (via domestic abatement), but keeping options open to go further if a global deal is achieved. Policy implications of adopting the Fourth Budget are set out, including: electricity market reform and a carbon price underpin; support for the development of new technologies and markets; and making a step change to deliver the first three budgets.The Fourth carbon budget CCC 2011 Compatibility Mode.pdf 1.45 MB
David Kennedy, The Committee on Climate Change Provides a recap of the UK’s Intended and Interim carbon budgets to 2020 and the opportunities for emission reductions by sector covering: power; residential buildings; non-residential buildings and industry; transport; and agriculture. The macroeconomic impacts of the carbon budgets and the impacts of the recession are set out in respect to GDP against cost, emissions, carbon price and financing. The strategy for meeting the carbon budgets includes a requirement to strengthen key policies in respect to: residential buildings by overcoming known barriers (e.g. lack of information, hassle, procrastination and engagement); power markets by addressing the risks for private and social players under the current market arrangements; electric cars through the provision of interim price support for charging, information, and addressing planning barriers.
Tags: Carbon budget, Carbon price, CCC, Climate change, Committee on Climate Change reports, David Kennedy, Electricity generation, Emission reductions, Emissions, Emissions trading, Energy systems modelling, Fossil fuels, GDP, power, transport, UK, |IndustryBuilding a Low Carbon Economy 2009.pdf 448.3 KB